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Championship · Matchday 39Saturday 20 March · 15:00 · Riverside Stadium
Middlesbrough1st place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Sheffield United10th place
MID 63%X 22%SHU 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Middlesbrough lead by 114 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Middlesbrough 1.2, Sheffield United -0.2.
  • Middlesbrough take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If Middlesbrough score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Sheffield United score first, they win 42% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.9
Over 2.555%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
163%1.58X22%4.50214%6.94
Double chance
1X86%1.17X237%2.731278%1.29
Goals
Over 2.555%1.82Under 2.545%2.22BTTS yes51%1.97BTTS no49%2.04

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Middlesbrough · Columns: Sheffield United2-0 probability 11.4%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Sheffield United – Middlesbrough9 February 20261-2
Middlesbrough – Sheffield United30 August 20251-0
Sheffield United – Middlesbrough12 February 20253-1
Middlesbrough – Sheffield United23 October 20241-0
Sheffield United – Middlesbrough15 February 20231-3
Middlesbrough – Sheffield United14 August 20222-2