SWA 42%X 28%WOL 30%
Prediction
Key factors
- Swansea City lead by 69 rating points.
- If Swansea City score first, they win 71% of the time
- If Wolverhampton score first, they win 61% of the time
- Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.2
Over 2.548%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1
Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Swansea City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.38X28%3.54230%3.36
Double chance
1X70%1.42X258%1.721272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.548%2.08Under 2.552%1.92BTTS yes53%1.88BTTS no47%2.14
Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.
Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Swansea City · Columns: Wolverhampton1-1 probability 13.3%
Swansea City3rd place
Wolverhampton4th place