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Championship · Matchday 39Saturday 20 March · 15:00 · The Den
Millwall12th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Cardiff City17th place
MIL 59%X 23%CAR 17%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Millwall lead by 110 rating points.
  • If Millwall score first, they win 82% of the time
  • If Cardiff City score first, they win 45% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.9 – 0.9
Over 2.554%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-0 is the likeliest score within a Millwall win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
159%1.69X23%4.26217%5.75
Double chance
1X83%1.21X241%2.451277%1.31
Goals
Over 2.554%1.85Under 2.546%2.17BTTS yes53%1.90BTTS no47%2.11

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Millwall · Columns: Cardiff City1-1 probability 11.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Millwall – Cardiff City21 January 20252-2
Cardiff City – Millwall1 October 20241-0
Millwall – Cardiff City13 April 20243-1
Cardiff City – Millwall9 December 20231-0
Cardiff City – Millwall21 January 20230-1
Millwall – Cardiff City3 September 20222-0