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Championship · Matchday 19Saturday 5 December · 12:30 · Ashton Gate Stadium
Bristol City14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Swansea City3rd place
BRC 37%X 29%SWA 34%

Prediction

  • If Bristol City score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Swansea City score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.2
Over 2.544%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Bristol City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
137%2.68X29%3.50234%2.93
Double chance
1X66%1.52X263%1.601271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.544%2.25Under 2.556%1.80BTTS yes51%1.97BTTS no49%2.03

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Bristol City · Columns: Swansea City1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

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Head to head

Swansea City – Bristol City21 February 20261-0
Bristol City – Swansea City22 November 20253-0
Bristol City – Swansea City9 February 20250-1
Swansea City – Bristol City29 September 20241-1
Bristol City – Swansea City10 March 20241-0
Swansea City – Bristol City2 September 20231-2