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Championship · Matchday 19Saturday 5 December · 15:00 · Carrow Road
Norwich City15th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Medium confidence
Wrexham18th place
NOR 50%X 27%WRE 24%

Prediction

  • If Norwich City score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Wrexham score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.2
Over 2.557%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Norwich City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
150%2.02X27%3.74224%4.22
Double chance
1X76%1.31X250%1.981273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.32BTTS yes59%1.71BTTS no41%2.41

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Norwich City · Columns: Wrexham1-1 probability 11.6%

Form

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Head to head

Wrexham – Norwich City17 January 20261-2
Norwich City – Wrexham20 September 20252-3