TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 19Saturday 5 December · 15:00 · bet365 Stadium
Stoke City7th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1Low confidence
QPR9th place
STK 33%X 29%QPR 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: QPR 0.5, Stoke City -0.3.
  • If Stoke City score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If QPR score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.3
Over 2.546%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a QPR win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
133%3.00X29%3.44238%2.66
Double chance
1X62%1.60X267%1.501271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.546%2.16Under 2.554%1.86BTTS yes52%1.91BTTS no48%2.10

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Stoke City · Columns: QPR1-1 probability 13.6%

Form

Compare →
QPRDWLWL

Head to head

Stoke City – QPR17 January 20260-0
QPR – Stoke City20 September 20251-0
Stoke City – QPR29 March 20253-1
QPR – Stoke City23 November 20241-1
Stoke City – QPR14 February 20241-0
QPR – Stoke City28 November 20234-2