TR
Picks
Championship · Matchday 19Friday 4 December · 20:00 · Bramall Lane
Sheffield United10th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
West Ham8th place
SHU 35%X 26%WHU 39%

Prediction

Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: West Ham 0.9, Sheffield United -0.2.
  • If Sheffield United score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If West Ham score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.7
Over 2.565%
Both teams score66%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a West Ham win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.85X26%3.80239%2.60
Double chance
1X61%1.63X265%1.541274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.565%1.55Under 2.535%2.82BTTS yes66%1.51BTTS no34%2.97

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sheffield United · Columns: West Ham1-1 probability 10.6%

Head to head

Sheffield United – West Ham21 January 20242-2
West Ham – Sheffield United30 September 20232-0