TR
Picks
Mon 19:45ATA1-0PAR59%Mon 19:45LOR1-0BRE44%Mon 20:00DEP1-0OSA43%Mon 20:00NEW1-0EVE42%Mon 20:15BEN2-0ALV77%Mon 20:15GIL1-0VSC44%Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%
Championship · Matchday 13Saturday 31 October · 15:00 · Turf Moor
Burnley22nd place
Full time0-0Prediction wrong
Portsmouth11th place
BUR 46%X 28%POR 25%

What does the market say?

BurnleyDrawPortsmouthRinvalo46%28%25%
Market44%27%28%

✓ Agree · both back Burnley

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Burnley lead by 105 rating points.
  • If Burnley score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Portsmouth score first, they win 57% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.0
Over 2.546%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Burnley win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.16X28%3.52225%3.97
Double chance
1X75%1.34X254%1.871272%1.40
Goals
Over 2.546%2.17Under 2.554%1.86BTTS yes51%1.97BTTS no49%2.03

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Burnley · Columns: Portsmouth0-0 probability 8.9% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Burnley – Portsmouth31 October 20260-0
Portsmouth – Burnley1 February 20250-0
Burnley – Portsmouth21 September 20242-1