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Championship · Matchday 13Saturday 31 October · 12:30 · bet365 Stadium
Stoke City7th place
Full time2-0Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
Preston North End24th place
STK 46%X 29%PNE 25%

What does the market say?

Stoke CityDrawPreston North EndRinvalo46%29%25%
Market54%25%21%

✓ Agree · both back Stoke City

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Stoke City 2.6 points per game, Preston North End 0.8.
  • Stoke City lead by 68 rating points.
  • If Stoke City score first, they win 75% of the time
  • If Preston North End score first, they win 58% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.0
Over 2.544%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Stoke City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
146%2.18X29%3.48225%3.93
Double chance
1X75%1.34X254%1.851271%1.40
Goals
Over 2.544%2.25Under 2.556%1.80BTTS yes49%2.02BTTS no51%1.98

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Stoke City · Columns: Preston North End2-0 probability 8.9% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Stoke City – Preston North End31 October 20262-0
Preston North End – Stoke City20 March 20263-1
Stoke City – Preston North End26 December 20250-0
Preston North End – Stoke City5 April 20251-1
Stoke City – Preston North End26 November 20240-0
Preston North End – Stoke City9 March 20241-2