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Championship · Matchday 13Saturday 31 October · 15:00 · Swansea.com Stadium
Swansea City3rd place
Full time4-0Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Result correct
Blackburn Rovers13th place
SWA 53%X 27%BLB 20%

What does the market say?

Swansea CityDrawBlackburn RoversRinvalo53%27%20%
Market53%26%22%

✓ Agree · both back Swansea City

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • Swansea City lead by 96 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Swansea City 2.0 points per game, Blackburn Rovers 1.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Swansea City 0.3, Blackburn Rovers -0.6.
  • If Swansea City score first, they win 80% of the time
  • If Blackburn Rovers score first, they win 53% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.5 – 0.8
Over 2.541%
Both teams score45%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
153%1.89X27%3.65220%5.07
Double chance
1X80%1.25X247%2.121273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.541%2.41Under 2.559%1.71BTTS yes45%2.24BTTS no55%1.81

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Swansea City · Columns: Blackburn Rovers4-0 probability 2.1% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Swansea City – Blackburn Rovers31 October 20264-0
Swansea City – Blackburn Rovers20 January 20263-1
Blackburn Rovers – Swansea City30 September 20251-2
Swansea City – Blackburn Rovers22 February 20253-0
Blackburn Rovers – Swansea City19 October 20241-0
Swansea City – Blackburn Rovers2 March 20242-1