TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Championship · Matchday 13Saturday 31 October · 12:30 · LNER Stadium
Lincoln City16th place
Full time1-3Rinvalo's pick: 0-1✓ Result correct
Birmingham City6th place
LIN 34%X 30%BIR 36%

What does the market say?

Lincoln CityDrawBirmingham CityRinvalo34%30%36%
Market29%27%44%

✓ Agree · both back Birmingham City

Prediction

Predicted: 0-1
Key factors
  • Birmingham City lead by 63 rating points.
  • If Lincoln City score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Birmingham City score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 13%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.1
Over 2.536%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 0-1 is the likeliest score within a Birmingham City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
134%2.97X30%3.32236%2.76
Double chance
1X64%1.57X266%1.511270%1.43
Goals
Over 2.536%2.74Under 2.564%1.57BTTS yes44%2.25BTTS no56%1.80

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lincoln City · Columns: Birmingham City1-3 probability 2.7% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Lincoln City – Birmingham City31 October 20261-3