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Premier League · Matchday 25Wednesday 10 February · 20:00 · Selhurst Park
Crystal Palace18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Brentford6th place
CRY 29%X 27%BRE 44%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Brentford lead by 132 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Brentford -0.1, Crystal Palace -0.9.
  • Last 5 games: Brentford 1.6 points per game, Crystal Palace 0.8.
  • If Crystal Palace score first, they win 58% of the time
  • If Brentford score first, they win 71% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.6
Over 2.553%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Brentford win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
129%3.47X27%3.74244%2.25
Double chance
1X56%1.80X271%1.401273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.553%1.89Under 2.547%2.13BTTS yes57%1.76BTTS no43%2.31

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Crystal Palace · Columns: Brentford1-1 probability 12.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Brentford – Crystal Palace17 May 20262-2
Crystal Palace – Brentford1 November 20252-0
Crystal Palace – Brentford26 January 20251-2
Brentford – Crystal Palace18 August 20242-1
Crystal Palace – Brentford30 December 20233-1
Brentford – Crystal Palace26 August 20231-1