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Premier League · Matchday 25Wednesday 10 February · 20:00 · Portman Road
Ipswich Town13th place
Rinvalo prediction0-2High confidence
Arsenal1st place
IPS 10%X 17%ARS 74%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Arsenal lead by 326 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Arsenal 2.4 points per game, Ipswich Town 1.0.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Arsenal 0.9, Ipswich Town -0.4.
  • If Ipswich Town score first, they win 32% of the time
  • If Arsenal score first, they win 89% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals0.8 – 2.4
Over 2.561%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score0-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
110%10.26X17%6.01274%1.36
Double chance
1X26%3.79X290%1.111283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.561%1.63Under 2.539%2.58BTTS yes49%2.05BTTS no51%1.95

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Ipswich Town · Columns: Arsenal0-2 probability 12.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Ipswich Town – Arsenal20 April 20250-4
Arsenal – Ipswich Town27 December 20241-0