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Premier League · Matchday 25Wednesday 10 February · 20:00 · Old Trafford
Manchester United17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Brighton3rd place
MUN 35%X 27%BHA 38%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Brighton 2.4 points per game, Manchester United 0.6.
  • Brighton lead by 98 rating points.
  • If Manchester United score first, they win 63% of the time
  • If Brighton score first, they win 66% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.5
Over 2.556%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Brighton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.87X27%3.72238%2.61
Double chance
1X62%1.62X265%1.531273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.27BTTS yes60%1.67BTTS no40%2.49

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Manchester United · Columns: Brighton1-1 probability 12.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Brighton – Manchester United24 May 20260-3
Manchester United – Brighton25 October 20254-2
Manchester United – Brighton19 January 20251-3
Brighton – Manchester United24 August 20242-1
Brighton – Manchester United19 May 20240-2
Manchester United – Brighton16 September 20231-3