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Premier League · Matchday 25Wednesday 10 February · 20:00 · Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Tottenham8th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence
Manchester City2nd place
TOT 22%X 25%MCI 53%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Manchester City lead by 205 rating points.
  • Manchester City take 2.1 points per game away.
  • If Tottenham score first, they win 50% of the time
  • If Manchester City score first, they win 77% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.1 – 1.8
Over 2.556%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Manchester City win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
122%4.50X25%4.02253%1.89
Double chance
1X47%2.12X278%1.291275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.27BTTS yes57%1.76BTTS no43%2.32

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Tottenham · Columns: Manchester City1-1 probability 11.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Tottenham – Manchester City1 February 20262-2
Manchester City – Tottenham23 August 20250-2
Tottenham – Manchester City26 February 20250-1
Manchester City – Tottenham23 November 20240-4
Tottenham – Manchester City14 May 20240-2
Manchester City – Tottenham3 December 20233-3