TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Premier League · Matchday 25Wednesday 10 February · 20:00 · Hill Dickinson Stadium
Everton7th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Leeds United12th place
EVE 40%X 30%LEE 30%

Prediction

  • If Everton score first, they win 72% of the time
  • If Leeds United score first, they win 64% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.0
Over 2.539%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Everton win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.48X30%3.38230%3.33
Double chance
1X70%1.43X260%1.681270%1.42
Goals
Over 2.539%2.54Under 2.561%1.65BTTS yes46%2.15BTTS no54%1.87

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Everton · Columns: Leeds United1-1 probability 14.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Everton – Leeds United26 January 20261-1
Leeds United – Everton18 August 20251-0
Everton – Leeds United18 February 20231-0
Leeds United – Everton30 August 20221-1
Everton – Leeds United12 February 20223-0
Leeds United – Everton21 August 20212-2