TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Eredivisie · Matchday 20Friday 22 January · 19:00 · Van Donge and De Roo Stadion
Excelsior15th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Fortuna Sittard6th place
EXC 41%X 27%FOR 32%

Prediction

  • If Excelsior score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Fortuna Sittard score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.557%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Excelsior win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.47X27%3.67232%3.10
Double chance
1X68%1.48X259%1.681273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.32BTTS yes60%1.66BTTS no40%2.52

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Excelsior · Columns: Fortuna Sittard1-1 probability 12.1%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Fortuna Sittard – Excelsior25 October 20261-0
Fortuna Sittard – Excelsior20 February 20262-1
Excelsior – Fortuna Sittard19 October 20251-0
Fortuna Sittard – Excelsior3 March 20245-2
Excelsior – Fortuna Sittard26 August 20232-2
Excelsior – Fortuna Sittard21 May 20233-0