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Eredivisie · Matchday 20Saturday 23 January · 20:00 · Philips Stadion
PSV Eindhoven3rd place
Rinvalo prediction3-0High confidence
ADO Den Haag17th place
PSV 84%X 12%ADO 5%

Prediction

Key factors
  • PSV Eindhoven lead by 342 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: PSV Eindhoven 1.1, ADO Den Haag -0.7.
  • PSV Eindhoven take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If PSV Eindhoven score first, they win 93% of the time
  • If ADO Den Haag score first, they win 19% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 1%
Expected goals3.6 – 1.0
Over 2.583%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score3-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
184%1.19X12%8.6725%21.32
Double chance
1X95%1.05X216%6.161288%1.13
Goals
Over 2.583%1.20Under 2.517%5.92BTTS yes60%1.66BTTS no40%2.53

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: PSV Eindhoven · Columns: ADO Den Haag3-0 probability 8.1%

Form

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Head to head

ADO Den Haag – PSV Eindhoven17 October 20262-1