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Eredivisie · Matchday 20Sunday 24 January · 13:30 · Spartastadion
Sparta Rotterdam11th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2Low confidence
Groningen8th place
SPA 35%X 26%GRO 39%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Groningen lead by 77 rating points.
  • If Sparta Rotterdam score first, they win 62% of the time
  • If Groningen score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.6
Over 2.562%
Both teams score64%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Groningen win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.87X26%3.84239%2.55
Double chance
1X61%1.64X265%1.531274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.562%1.62Under 2.538%2.60BTTS yes64%1.56BTTS no36%2.78

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Sparta Rotterdam · Columns: Groningen1-1 probability 11.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Groningen – Sparta Rotterdam1 November 20262-3
Sparta Rotterdam – Groningen31 January 20262-0
Groningen – Sparta Rotterdam19 October 20250-2
Sparta Rotterdam – Groningen2 February 20251-0
Groningen – Sparta Rotterdam9 November 20241-0
Groningen – Sparta Rotterdam28 May 20230-5