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Eredivisie · Matchday 20Saturday 23 January · 19:00 · De Grolsch Veste
Twente4th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Heerenveen7th place
TWE 65%X 21%HEE 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Twente lead by 97 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Twente 1.6, Heerenveen 0.2.
  • Twente take 2.1 points per game at home.
  • If Twente score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Heerenveen score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.557%
Both teams score52%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
165%1.53X21%4.74214%7.32
Double chance
1X86%1.16X235%2.881279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.557%1.75Under 2.543%2.33BTTS yes52%1.94BTTS no48%2.07

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Twente · Columns: Heerenveen2-0 probability 11.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Heerenveen – Twente9 August 20261-0
Twente – Heerenveen7 February 20265-0
Heerenveen – Twente24 August 20251-2
Heerenveen – Twente9 February 20253-3
Twente – Heerenveen17 September 20242-0
Heerenveen – Twente3 April 20243-3