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Eredivisie · Matchday 11Sunday 1 November · 13:30 · Van Donge and De Roo Stadion
Excelsior15th place
Full time0-9Prediction correct
Twente4th place
EXC 21%X 25%TWE 55%

What does the market say?

ExcelsiorDrawTwenteRinvalo21%25%55%
Market19%21%60%

✓ Agree · both back Twente

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Twente lead by 118 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Twente 1.3, Excelsior 0.0.
  • Last 5 games: Twente 2.6 points per game, Excelsior 1.6.
  • If Excelsior score first, they win 49% of the time
  • If Twente score first, they win 79% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.0 – 1.8
Over 2.554%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Twente win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
121%4.84X25%4.03255%1.83
Double chance
1X45%2.20X279%1.261275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.554%1.86Under 2.546%2.17BTTS yes55%1.83BTTS no45%2.20

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Excelsior · Columns: Twente0-9 probability 0.0% · final score

Form

Compare →
TwenteWDLWW

Head to head

Excelsior – Twente1 November 20260-9
Twente – Excelsior24 January 20260-0
Excelsior – Twente30 August 20251-0
Excelsior – Twente10 February 20240-3
Twente – Excelsior8 December 20234-2
Excelsior – Twente1 April 20230-0