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Eredivisie · Matchday 11Saturday 31 October · 15:30 · Stadion Feyenoord
Feyenoord1st place
Full time1-1Prediction wrong
Fortuna Sittard6th place
FEY 78%X 15%FOR 7%

What does the market say?

FeyenoordDrawFortuna SittardRinvalo78%15%7%
Market81%12%7%

✓ Agree · both back Feyenoord

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Feyenoord lead by 206 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Feyenoord 1.8, Fortuna Sittard -1.1.
  • Last 5 games: Feyenoord 2.6 points per game, Fortuna Sittard 1.8.
  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 91% of the time
  • If Fortuna Sittard score first, they win 26% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.8 – 0.8
Over 2.571%
Both teams score53%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
178%1.28X15%6.7127%13.79
Double chance
1X93%1.08X222%4.511285%1.18
Goals
Over 2.571%1.41Under 2.529%3.42BTTS yes53%1.87BTTS no47%2.15

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Feyenoord · Columns: Fortuna Sittard1-1 probability 6.5% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Feyenoord – Fortuna Sittard31 October 20261-1
Fortuna Sittard – Feyenoord3 May 20261-2
Feyenoord – Fortuna Sittard17 September 20252-0
Fortuna Sittard – Feyenoord12 April 20250-2
Feyenoord – Fortuna Sittard30 November 20241-1
Fortuna Sittard – Feyenoord14 April 20240-1