TR
Picks
Eredivisie · Matchday 11Sunday 1 November · 11:15 · MAC³PARK Stadion
PEC Zwolle14th place
Full time1-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
ADO Den Haag17th place
PEC 47%X 27%ADO 26%

What does the market say?

PEC ZwolleDrawADO Den HaagRinvalo47%27%26%
Market43%25%32%

✓ Agree · both back PEC Zwolle

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
  • If PEC Zwolle score first, they win 73% of the time
  • If ADO Den Haag score first, they win 55% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.2
Over 2.556%
Both teams score59%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a PEC Zwolle win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
147%2.14X27%3.66226%3.87
Double chance
1X74%1.35X253%1.881273%1.38
Goals
Over 2.556%1.78Under 2.544%2.28BTTS yes59%1.70BTTS no41%2.42

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: PEC Zwolle · Columns: ADO Den Haag1-0 probability 8.3% · final score

Head to head

PEC Zwolle – ADO Den Haag1 November 20261-0