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Picks
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Serie A · Matchday 29Sunday 21 March · 17:30 · Stadio Artemio Franchi
Fiorentina17th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Genoa11th place
FIO 41%X 29%GEN 30%

Prediction

  • If Fiorentina score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Genoa score first, they win 62% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.1
Over 2.544%
Both teams score50%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Fiorentina win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
141%2.44X29%3.43230%3.34
Double chance
1X70%1.43X259%1.691271%1.41
Goals
Over 2.544%2.29Under 2.556%1.77BTTS yes50%2.01BTTS no50%1.99

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Fiorentina · Columns: Genoa1-1 probability 13.8%

Form

Compare →
GenoaWLWWW

Head to head

Genoa – Fiorentina10 October 20262-1
Fiorentina – Genoa10 May 20260-0
Genoa – Fiorentina9 November 20252-2
Fiorentina – Genoa2 February 20252-1
Genoa – Fiorentina31 October 20240-1
Fiorentina – Genoa15 April 20241-1