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Serie A · Matchday 29Sunday 21 March · 17:30 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Inter2nd place
Rinvalo prediction3-0High confidence
Frosinone6th place
INT 79%X 14%FRO 7%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Inter lead by 199 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Inter 1.6, Frosinone -0.4.
  • Inter take 2.6 points per game at home.
  • If Inter score first, they win 91% of the time
  • If Frosinone score first, they win 24% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals3.1 – 1.0
Over 2.578%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score3-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
179%1.27X14%7.0627%14.03
Double chance
1X93%1.08X221%4.701286%1.16
Goals
Over 2.578%1.28Under 2.522%4.53BTTS yes60%1.66BTTS no40%2.52

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Inter · Columns: Frosinone3-0 probability 8.3%

Form

Compare →
InterWWWWL

Head to head

Frosinone – Inter10 May 20240-5
Inter – Frosinone12 November 20232-0