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Serie A · Matchday 29Sunday 21 March · 17:30 · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli8th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0High confidence
Venezia20th place
NAP 73%X 18%VEN 9%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Napoli lead by 264 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Napoli 0.5, Venezia -0.6.
  • If Napoli score first, they win 91% of the time
  • If Venezia score first, they win 34% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.6
Over 2.550%
Both teams score38%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
173%1.36X18%5.5829%11.64
Double chance
1X91%1.09X227%3.771282%1.22
Goals
Over 2.550%2.01Under 2.550%1.99BTTS yes38%2.63BTTS no62%1.61

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Napoli · Columns: Venezia2-0 probability 15.5%

Form

Compare →
NapoliWLDWL
VeneziaLWLLL

Head to head

Venezia – Napoli17 October 20261-0
Venezia – Napoli16 March 20250-0
Napoli – Venezia29 December 20241-0
Venezia – Napoli6 February 20220-2
Napoli – Venezia22 August 20212-0