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Bundesliga · Matchday 14Saturday 19 December · 14:30 · Europa-Park Stadion
Freiburg3rd place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Stuttgart11th place
SCF 42%X 26%VFB 32%

Prediction

  • If Freiburg score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 59% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.7 – 1.5
Over 2.563%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Freiburg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.41X26%3.80232%3.11
Double chance
1X68%1.47X258%1.711274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.563%1.58Under 2.537%2.71BTTS yes65%1.54BTTS no35%2.86

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Freiburg · Columns: Stuttgart1-1 probability 10.9%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Stuttgart – Freiburg1 February 20261-0
Freiburg – Stuttgart13 September 20253-1
Stuttgart – Freiburg18 January 20254-0
Freiburg – Stuttgart24 August 20243-1
Freiburg – Stuttgart3 February 20241-3
Stuttgart – Freiburg2 September 20235-0