TR
Picks
Bundesliga · Matchday 14Saturday 19 December · 14:30 · BayArena
Leverkusen6th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1High confidence
Eintracht Frankfurt8th place
B04 57%X 23%SGE 20%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Leverkusen lead by 75 rating points.
  • If Leverkusen score first, they win 77% of the time
  • If Eintracht Frankfurt score first, they win 45% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 3%
Expected goals2.3 – 1.4
Over 2.572%
Both teams score69%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
157%1.77X23%4.30220%4.97
Double chance
1X80%1.25X243%2.301277%1.30
Goals
Over 2.572%1.39Under 2.528%3.57BTTS yes69%1.46BTTS no31%3.18

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Leverkusen · Columns: Eintracht Frankfurt2-1 probability 9.1%

Head to head

Eintracht Frankfurt – Leverkusen31 January 20261-3
Leverkusen – Eintracht Frankfurt12 September 20253-1
Eintracht Frankfurt – Leverkusen1 March 20251-4
Leverkusen – Eintracht Frankfurt19 October 20242-1
Eintracht Frankfurt – Leverkusen5 May 20241-5
Leverkusen – Eintracht Frankfurt17 December 20233-0