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Bundesliga · Matchday 33Saturday 15 May · 14:30 · Stadion im Borussia-Park
M'gladbach18th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Augsburg10th place
BMG 40%X 26%FCA 33%

Prediction

  • If M'gladbach score first, they win 67% of the time
  • If Augsburg score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a M'gladbach win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.49X26%3.79233%3.00
Double chance
1X67%1.50X260%1.671274%1.36
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.40BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.60

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: M'gladbach · Columns: Augsburg1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

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Head to head

Augsburg – M'gladbach9 May 20263-1
M'gladbach – Augsburg11 January 20264-0
M'gladbach – Augsburg22 February 20250-3
Augsburg – M'gladbach4 October 20242-1
M'gladbach – Augsburg21 January 20241-2
Augsburg – M'gladbach19 August 20234-4