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Bundesliga · Matchday 33Saturday 15 May · 14:30 · Weserstadion
Werder Bremen5th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0High confidence
Schalke 0417th place
SVW 63%X 23%S04 14%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Last 5 games: Werder Bremen 2.2 points per game, Schalke 04 0.4.
  • Werder Bremen lead by 96 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Werder Bremen -0.2, Schalke 04 -1.2.
  • If Werder Bremen score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Schalke 04 score first, they win 44% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 10%
Expected goals1.7 – 0.7
Over 2.543%
Both teams score40%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
163%1.58X23%4.41214%7.17
Double chance
1X86%1.16X237%2.731277%1.29
Goals
Over 2.543%2.33Under 2.557%1.75BTTS yes40%2.48BTTS no60%1.68

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Werder Bremen · Columns: Schalke 041-0 probability 15.1%

Form

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Head to head

Schalke 04 – Werder Bremen29 April 20232-1
Werder Bremen – Schalke 045 November 20222-1