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Bundesliga · Matchday 33Saturday 15 May · 14:30 · Home Deluxe Arena
Paderborn14th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Low confidence
Union Berlin16th place
SCP 38%X 30%FCU 32%

Prediction

  • If Paderborn score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Union Berlin score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 12%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.1
Over 2.539%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Paderborn win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
138%2.61X30%3.36232%3.14
Double chance
1X68%1.47X262%1.621270%1.42
Goals
Over 2.539%2.59Under 2.561%1.63BTTS yes46%2.17BTTS no54%1.85

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Paderborn · Columns: Union Berlin1-1 probability 14.2%

Form

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