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Bundesliga · Matchday 33Saturday 15 May · 14:30 · MHP Arena
Stuttgart11th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
RB Leipzig4th place
VFB 40%X 26%RBL 34%

Prediction

  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 65% of the time
  • If RB Leipzig score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals1.8 – 1.6
Over 2.566%
Both teams score68%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Stuttgart win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.50X26%3.87234%2.93
Double chance
1X66%1.52X260%1.671274%1.35
Goals
Over 2.566%1.51Under 2.534%2.96BTTS yes68%1.48BTTS no32%3.08

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Stuttgart · Columns: RB Leipzig1-1 probability 10.3%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Stuttgart – RB Leipzig15 March 20261-0
RB Leipzig – Stuttgart1 November 20253-1
RB Leipzig – Stuttgart17 May 20252-3
Stuttgart – RB Leipzig15 January 20252-1
Stuttgart – RB Leipzig27 January 20245-2
RB Leipzig – Stuttgart25 August 20235-1