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Bundesliga · Matchday 33Saturday 15 May · 14:30 · BayArena
Leverkusen6th place
Rinvalo prediction1-2High confidence
Bayern Munich1st place
B04 16%X 20%FCB 64%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Bayern Munich lead by 198 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Bayern Munich 2.4, Leverkusen 0.1.
  • Bayern Munich take 2.4 points per game away.
  • If Leverkusen score first, they win 38% of the time
  • If Bayern Munich score first, they win 82% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 2%
Expected goals1.4 – 2.7
Over 2.578%
Both teams score70%
Likeliest score1-2
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
116%6.23X20%5.08264%1.56
Double chance
1X36%2.80X284%1.191280%1.25
Goals
Over 2.578%1.29Under 2.522%4.45BTTS yes70%1.42BTTS no30%3.38

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Leverkusen · Columns: Bayern Munich1-2 probability 8.5%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Leverkusen – Bayern Munich14 March 20261-1
Bayern Munich – Leverkusen1 November 20253-0
Leverkusen – Bayern Munich15 February 20250-0
Bayern Munich – Leverkusen28 September 20241-1
Leverkusen – Bayern Munich10 February 20243-0
Bayern Munich – Leverkusen15 September 20232-2