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Ligue 1 · Matchday 26Saturday 3 April · 16:00 · Stade Océane
Le Havre18th place
Rinvalo prediction1-0Medium confidence
Troyes16th place
HAC 51%X 27%ETG 22%

Prediction

  • If Le Havre score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Troyes score first, they win 54% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.546%
Both teams score49%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Le Havre win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
151%1.95X27%3.76222%4.55
Double chance
1X78%1.28X249%2.061273%1.36
Goals
Over 2.546%2.18Under 2.554%1.84BTTS yes49%2.04BTTS no51%1.96

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Le Havre · Columns: Troyes1-1 probability 12.8%

Form

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TroyesLLLDW