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Ligue 1 · Matchday 26Saturday 3 April · 16:00 · Stade de la Meinau
Strasbourg13th place
Rinvalo prediction2-1Low confidence
Toulouse12th place
STR 40%X 28%TFC 32%

Prediction

  • If Strasbourg score first, they win 68% of the time
  • If Toulouse score first, they win 61% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.6 – 1.4
Over 2.556%
Both teams score60%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Strasbourg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
140%2.49X28%3.63232%3.10
Double chance
1X68%1.48X260%1.671272%1.38
Goals
Over 2.556%1.79Under 2.544%2.27BTTS yes60%1.68BTTS no40%2.48

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Strasbourg · Columns: Toulouse1-1 probability 12.2%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Strasbourg – Toulouse3 May 20261-2
Toulouse – Strasbourg6 December 20251-0
Strasbourg – Toulouse16 March 20252-1
Toulouse – Strasbourg12 January 20251-2
Toulouse – Strasbourg7 April 20240-0
Strasbourg – Toulouse27 August 20232-0