Paris FC vs Paris Saint-Germain prediction

Ligue 1 · Matchday 26Saturday 3 April · 16:00 · Stade Jean-Bouin

Paris FC4th place

Rinvalo prediction1-2Medium confidence

Paris Saint-Germain1st place

PFC 26%X 25%PSG 49%

Prediction

Key factors

Paris Saint-Germain lead by 152 rating points.
Last 5 games: Paris Saint-Germain 3.0 points per game, Paris FC 1.8.
Paris Saint-Germain take 2.3 points per game away.

If Paris FC score first, they win 54% of the time
If Paris Saint-Germain score first, they win 74% of the time
Chance of a goalless draw 6%

Expected goals1.2 – 1.7

Over 2.557%

Both teams score59%

Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Paris Saint-Germain win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds

Result

126%3.91X25%3.94249%2.04

Double chance

1X51%1.96X274%1.341275%1.34

Goals

Over 2.557%1.77Under 2.543%2.30BTTS yes59%1.71BTTS no41%2.42

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)

012345

Rows: Paris FC · Columns: Paris Saint-Germain1-1 probability 11.8%

Form

Compare →

Paris FCWLWLW

Paris Saint-GermainWWWWW

Head to head

Paris FC – Paris Saint-Germain17 May 20262-1

Paris Saint-Germain – Paris FC4 January 20262-1

Make your pick

Paris FC

–

Paris Saint-Germain

Rinvalo: 1-2

Standings

Full table

#	Team	P	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint-Germain	9	+11	20
2	Lille	9	+6	18
3	Lyon	9	+8	17
4	Paris FC	9	+6	17
5	Rennes	9	+1	16

Other games this matchday

0-1

1-2

1-0

1-0

1-2

2-1

0-1

2-1