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Bundesliga · Matchday 7Saturday 24 October · 14:30 · Red Bull Arena Leipzig
RB Leipzig4th place
Full time4-0Prediction correct
Elversberg7th place
RBL 69%X 19%SVE 12%

What does the market say?

RB LeipzigDrawElversbergRinvalo69%19%12%
Market66%18%15%

✓ Agree · both back RB Leipzig

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • RB Leipzig lead by 102 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: RB Leipzig 1.0, Elversberg -0.6.
  • RB Leipzig take 2.3 points per game at home.
  • If RB Leipzig score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If Elversberg score first, they win 35% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.5 – 1.0
Over 2.567%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
169%1.45X19%5.19212%8.41
Double chance
1X88%1.13X231%3.211281%1.24
Goals
Over 2.567%1.50Under 2.533%3.02BTTS yes58%1.73BTTS no42%2.37

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
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5
Rows: RB Leipzig · Columns: Elversberg4-0 probability 4.9% · final score

Form

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Head to head

RB Leipzig – Elversberg24 October 20264-0