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Bundesliga · Matchday 7Saturday 24 October · 14:30 · RheinEnergieStadion
Köln13th place
Full time0-0Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✕ Missed
Schalke 0417th place
KOE 56%X 25%S04 19%

What does the market say?

KölnDrawSchalke 04Rinvalo56%25%19%
Market46%25%29%

✓ Agree · both back Köln

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Köln 0.2, Schalke 04 -0.8.
  • If Köln score first, they win 81% of the time
  • If Schalke 04 score first, they win 50% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals1.6 – 0.9
Over 2.546%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
156%1.79X25%4.05219%5.14
Double chance
1X81%1.24X244%2.271275%1.33
Goals
Over 2.546%2.18Under 2.554%1.85BTTS yes47%2.11BTTS no53%1.90

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Köln · Columns: Schalke 040-0 probability 9.0% · final score

Form

Compare →
KölnLWLDD

Head to head

Köln – Schalke 0424 October 20260-0
Schalke 04 – Köln29 January 20230-0
Köln – Schalke 047 August 20223-1