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Bundesliga · Matchday 7Saturday 24 October · 17:30 · Signal Iduna Park
Dortmund2nd place
Full time1-0Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
Eintracht Frankfurt8th place
BVB 65%X 21%SGE 13%

What does the market say?

DortmundDrawEintracht FrankfurtRinvalo65%21%13%
Market65%19%17%

✓ Agree · both back Dortmund

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Dortmund lead by 176 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Dortmund 3.0 points per game, Eintracht Frankfurt 1.2.
  • Dortmund take 2.4 points per game at home.
  • If Dortmund score first, they win 84% of the time
  • If Eintracht Frankfurt score first, they win 38% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 4%
Expected goals2.4 – 1.1
Over 2.568%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score2-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
165%1.53X21%4.74213%7.43
Double chance
1X87%1.16X235%2.901279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.568%1.47Under 2.532%3.11BTTS yes61%1.65BTTS no39%2.54

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Dortmund · Columns: Eintracht Frankfurt1-0 probability 6.8% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Dortmund – Eintracht Frankfurt24 October 20261-0
Dortmund – Eintracht Frankfurt8 May 20263-2
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Dortmund – Eintracht Frankfurt24 August 20242-0
Dortmund – Eintracht Frankfurt17 March 20243-1