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Bundesliga · Matchday 7Saturday 24 October · 14:30 · Home Deluxe Arena
Paderborn14th place
Full time1-0Rinvalo's pick: 1-0✓ Exact score
Hamburg15th place
SCP 39%X 30%HSV 32%

What does the market say?

PaderbornDrawHamburgRinvalo39%30%32%
Market42%26%32%

✓ Agree · both back Paderborn

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
  • If Paderborn score first, they win 70% of the time
  • If Hamburg score first, they win 65% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 11%
Expected goals1.2 – 1.1
Over 2.540%
Both teams score47%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Paderborn win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
139%2.60X30%3.37232%3.14
Double chance
1X68%1.47X262%1.631270%1.42
Goals
Over 2.540%2.48Under 2.560%1.68BTTS yes47%2.11BTTS no53%1.90

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Paderborn · Columns: Hamburg1-0 probability 11.3% · final score

Form

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Head to head

Paderborn – Hamburg24 October 20261-0