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Ligue 1 · Matchday 9Sunday 1 November · 16:15 · Groupama Stadium
Lyon3rd place
Full time2-0Exact score
Angers15th place
OL 67%X 21%ANG 12%

What does the market say?

LyonDrawAngersRinvalo67%21%12%
Market68%19%13%

✓ Agree · both back Lyon

Prediction

Predicted: 2-0
Key factors
  • Lyon lead by 165 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Lyon 0.4, Angers -0.6.
  • Last 5 games: Lyon 2.2 points per game, Angers 1.4.
  • If Lyon score first, they win 87% of the time
  • If Angers score first, they win 40% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 8%
Expected goals2.0 – 0.7
Over 2.549%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
167%1.50X21%4.72212%8.16
Double chance
1X88%1.14X233%2.991279%1.27
Goals
Over 2.549%2.02Under 2.551%1.98BTTS yes44%2.28BTTS no56%1.78

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Lyon · Columns: Angers2-0 probability 13.4% · final score

Form

Compare →
LyonWLWLW
AngersWLLDL

Head to head

Lyon – Angers1 November 20262-0
Angers – Lyon5 April 20260-0
Lyon – Angers19 September 20251-0
Lyon – Angers17 May 20252-0
Angers – Lyon7 December 20240-3
Angers – Lyon25 February 20231-3