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Picks
Mon 19:45ATA1-0PAR59%Mon 19:45LOR1-0BRE44%Mon 20:00DEP1-0OSA43%Mon 20:00NEW1-0EVE42%Mon 20:15BEN2-0ALV77%Mon 20:15GIL1-0VSC44%Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 9Sunday 1 November · 16:15 · Stade Jean-Bouin
Paris FC4th place
Full time3-1Prediction correct
Monaco7th place
PFC 42%X 28%MON 29%

What does the market say?

Paris FCDrawMonacoRinvalo42%28%29%
Market41%27%32%

✓ Agree · both back Paris FC

Prediction

Predicted: 1-0
Key factors
  • xG difference over the last 10: Paris FC 0.9, Monaco 0.1.
  • Paris FC take 2.2 points per game at home.
  • If Paris FC score first, they win 71% of the time
  • If Monaco score first, they win 60% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 7%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.2
Over 2.551%
Both teams score55%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-0 is the likeliest score within a Paris FC win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
142%2.35X28%3.54229%3.42
Double chance
1X71%1.41X258%1.741272%1.39
Goals
Over 2.551%1.96Under 2.549%2.04BTTS yes55%1.80BTTS no45%2.24

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Paris FC · Columns: Monaco3-1 probability 4.5% · final score

Form

Compare →
MonacoWDLDL

Head to head

Paris FC – Monaco1 November 20263-1
Paris FC – Monaco10 April 20264-1
Monaco – Paris FC1 November 20250-1