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Ligue 1 · Matchday 9Friday 30 October · 18:00 · Allianz Riviera
Nice8th place
Full time5-2Rinvalo's pick: 1-2✕ Missed
Rennes5th place
NIC 30%X 27%REN 43%

What does the market say?

NiceDrawRennesRinvalo30%27%43%
Market37%26%37%

✓ Agree · both back Rennes

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Rennes lead by 121 rating points.
  • Last 5 games: Rennes 2.0 points per game, Nice 1.0.
  • If Nice score first, they win 59% of the time
  • If Rennes score first, they win 70% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.3 – 1.6
Over 2.555%
Both teams score58%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Rennes win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
130%3.36X27%3.73243%2.30
Double chance
1X57%1.77X270%1.421273%1.37
Goals
Over 2.555%1.83Under 2.545%2.21BTTS yes58%1.71BTTS no42%2.40

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Nice · Columns: Rennes5-2 probability 0.2% · final score

Form

Compare →
NiceWWLWW
RennesLWLWL

Head to head

Nice – Rennes30 October 20265-2
Nice – Rennes8 March 20260-4
Rennes – Nice26 October 20251-2
Rennes – Nice10 May 20252-0
Nice – Rennes3 January 20253-2
Rennes – Nice13 January 20242-0