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Ligue 1 · Matchday 9Sunday 1 November · 14:00 · Stade de la Meinau
Strasbourg12th place
Full time5-1Rinvalo's pick: 2-1✓ Result correct
Auxerre13th place
STR 54%X 25%AUX 21%

What does the market say?

StrasbourgDrawAuxerreRinvalo54%25%21%
Market52%24%24%

✓ Agree · both back Strasbourg

Prediction

Predicted: 2-1
Key factors
  • Strasbourg lead by 83 rating points.
  • If Strasbourg score first, they win 78% of the time
  • If Auxerre score first, they win 49% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.9 – 1.1
Over 2.557%
Both teams score57%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 2-1 is the likeliest score within a Strasbourg win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
154%1.85X25%3.97221%4.80
Double chance
1X79%1.26X246%2.171275%1.34
Goals
Over 2.557%1.75Under 2.543%2.33BTTS yes57%1.74BTTS no43%2.34

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Strasbourg · Columns: Auxerre5-1 probability 1.1% · final score

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Strasbourg – Auxerre1 November 20265-1
Auxerre – Strasbourg7 March 20260-0
Strasbourg – Auxerre29 October 20253-0
Auxerre – Strasbourg2 March 20250-1
Strasbourg – Auxerre5 January 20253-1
Strasbourg – Auxerre19 March 20232-0