TR
Picks
Mon 19:45ATA1-0PAR59%Mon 19:45LOR1-0BRE44%Mon 20:00DEP1-0OSA43%Mon 20:00NEW1-0EVE42%Mon 20:15BEN2-0ALV77%Mon 20:15GIL1-0VSC44%Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%
Ligue 1 · Matchday 9Saturday 31 October · 19:45 · Stade de l'Aube
Troyes16th place
Full time2-0Prediction wrong
Le Mans17th place
ETG 31%X 26%LMS 43%

What does the market say?

TroyesDrawLe MansRinvalo31%26%43%
Market40%27%32%

⚠ Split · Rinvalo Le Mans 43%, market Troyes 40%

Prediction

Predicted: 1-2
Key factors
  • Le Mans lead by 109 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Le Mans -0.1, Troyes -1.1.
  • If Troyes score first, they win 58% of the time
  • If Le Mans score first, they win 69% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 5%
Expected goals1.5 – 1.8
Over 2.563%
Both teams score65%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Le Mans win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
131%3.20X26%3.92243%2.31
Double chance
1X57%1.76X269%1.451274%1.34
Goals
Over 2.563%1.60Under 2.537%2.68BTTS yes65%1.55BTTS no35%2.82

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Troyes · Columns: Le Mans2-0 probability 4.3% · final score

Form

Compare →
TroyesLLLDW
Le MansWLLDL

Head to head

Troyes – Le Mans31 October 20262-0