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Bundesliga · Matchday 10Saturday 21 November · 17:30 · VELTINS-Arena
Schalke 0417th place
Rinvalo prediction0-1High confidence
Stuttgart11th place
S04 16%X 22%VFB 62%

What does the market say?

Schalke 04DrawStuttgartRinvalo16%22%62%
Market24%23%53%

✓ Agree · both back Stuttgart

Prediction

Key factors
  • Stuttgart lead by 182 rating points.
  • xG difference over the last 10: Stuttgart -0.1, Schalke 04 -1.2.
  • The market also backs the away side (53%).
  • If Schalke 04 score first, they win 45% of the time
  • If Stuttgart score first, they win 84% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 9%
Expected goals0.7 – 1.8
Over 2.546%
Both teams score44%
Likeliest score0-1
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
116%6.22X22%4.49262%1.62
Double chance
1X38%2.61X284%1.191278%1.29
Goals
Over 2.546%2.19Under 2.554%1.84BTTS yes44%2.26BTTS no56%1.79

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
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Rows: Schalke 04 · Columns: Stuttgart0-1 probability 13.6%

Form

Compare →

Head to head

Schalke 04 – Stuttgart25 February 20232-1
Stuttgart – Schalke 043 September 20221-1