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Champions League · League phase, matchday 5Tuesday 24 November · 20:00 · Emirates Stadium
Arsenal7th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Dortmund13th place
ARS 67%X 17%BVB 16%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Arsenal lead by 151 points on the European rating.
  • The Premier League average is 58 points above the Bundesliga average.
  • If Arsenal score first, they win 85% of the time
  • If Dortmund score first, they win 39% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.9
Over 2.557%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
167%1.49X17%5.82216%6.40
Double chance
1X84%1.19X233%3.051283%1.21
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.32BTTS yes51%1.95BTTS no49%2.05

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
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5
Rows: Arsenal · Columns: Dortmund2-0 probability 11.5%

Form

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