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Champions League · League phase, matchday 5Tuesday 24 November · 20:00 · Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia
Como9th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
AEK Athens29th place
COM 68%X 17%AEK 15%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Como lead by 157 points on the European rating.
  • If Como score first, they win 86% of the time
  • If AEK Athens score first, they win 39% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.1 – 0.8
Over 2.557%
Both teams score51%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
168%1.47X17%5.89215%6.61
Double chance
1X85%1.18X232%3.111283%1.20
Goals
Over 2.557%1.76Under 2.543%2.32BTTS yes51%1.98BTTS no49%2.02

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
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5
Rows: Como · Columns: AEK Athens2-0 probability 11.7%

Form

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