TR
Picks
Champions League · League phase, matchday 5Tuesday 24 November · 20:00 · Stadion Feyenoord
FEY 35%X 22%POR 43%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Porto lead by 109 points on the European rating.
  • The Primeira Liga average is 63 points above the Eredivisie average.
  • If Feyenoord score first, they win 60% of the time
  • If Porto score first, they win 68% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals1.4 – 1.6
Over 2.558%
Both teams score61%
Likeliest score1-1

Rinvalo's pick 1-2 is the likeliest score within a Porto win. The single likeliest score is 1-1, but its result is less likely overall.

Probabilities and fair odds
Result
135%2.88X22%4.55243%2.31
Double chance
1X57%1.76X265%1.531278%1.28
Goals
Over 2.558%1.72Under 2.542%2.39BTTS yes61%1.63BTTS no39%2.58

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Feyenoord · Columns: Porto1-1 probability 11.8%