TR
Picks
Tue 17:45GS2-1VFB43%Tue 17:45SHA1-2SCP46%Tue 19:45BLB1-0STK41%Tue 19:45CHA1-0BOL41%Tue 19:45DER1-2NOR43%Tue 19:45POR1-0SWA39%Tue 19:45PNE0-1SHU42%Tue 19:45QPR2-1BUR50%Tue 19:45WAT1-0LIN38%Tue 20:00BIR1-0MIL45%Tue 20:00WBA0-1SOU42%Tue 20:00ATM1-2FCB54%Tue 20:00BAR2-1AVL52%Tue 20:00BOD2-1LIL59%Tue 20:00FEY1-2INT47%Tue 20:00LAS2-1SLO61%Tue 20:00MUN1-2ROM40%Tue 20:00VIL0-2PSG69%Wed 15:30REN2-1OLY42%Wed 17:45AEK1-2RMA59%Wed 17:45FB1-2LIV48%Wed 19:45CAR1-2WHU48%Wed 19:45WRE1-2MID52%Wed 20:00BRC0-1WOL40%
Champions League · League phase, matchday 5Tuesday 24 November · 20:00 · Etihad Stadium
Manchester City10th place
Rinvalo prediction2-0
Napoli22nd place
MCI 73%X 15%NAP 12%

Prediction

Key factors
  • Manchester City lead by 207 points on the European rating.
  • The Premier League average is 123 points above the Serie A average.
  • If Manchester City score first, they win 89% of the time
  • If Napoli score first, they win 34% of the time
  • Chance of a goalless draw 6%
Expected goals2.2 – 0.7
Over 2.556%
Both teams score46%
Likeliest score2-0
Probabilities and fair odds
Result
173%1.37X15%6.52212%8.49
Double chance
1X88%1.13X227%3.691285%1.18
Goals
Over 2.556%1.78Under 2.544%2.27BTTS yes46%2.20BTTS no54%1.83

Fair odds = 1 ÷ probability: the price the model gives, with no bookmaker margin.

Score probabilities (%)
012345
0
1
2
3
4
5
Rows: Manchester City · Columns: Napoli2-0 probability 13.3%

Form

Compare →